I am conducting research on artificial general intelligence (AGI) with Ben Goertzel and Ted Goertzel. We conducted a survey of AGI experts at the AGI-09 conference.
The survey instrument is available here: ExpertElicitation_AGI09.doc.
Our survey is adapted from several previous expert elicitations, in particular the one used in:
-- Morgan, M. G.; Adams, P.; and Keith, D. 2006. Elicitation of Expert Judgments of Aerosol Forcing. Climatic Change 75(1-2): 195-214.
For more, see David Keith's page on expert elicitation.
A write-up of this study is in preparation.
Created 7 Feb 2010 * Updated 7 Feb 2010